"Superthinking," by Gabriel Weinberg Being Wrong Less "The concept of inverse thinking can help you with the challenge of making good decisions. The inverse of being right more is being wrong less." "Or consider healthy eating. A direct approach would be to try to...
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Consequences Tables
From Raiffa's book "Smart Choices" Use a Consequence Table: “You’ve defined your problem, you’ve structured your objectives, and you’ve established the set of alternatives you have to choose from. Now, to make a smart choice, you need to compare the merits of the...
Favorite Quotes from Scout Mindset
From Julia Galef's "The Scout Mindset" "So I’ve given it one. I call it scout mindset: the motivation to see things as they are, not as you wish they were. Scout mindset is what allows you to recognize when you are wrong, to seek out your blind spots, to test your...
How do you deal with Uncertainty?
From Howard Raiffa "Smart Choices" How Do You Deal With Uncertainty? "Decisions under uncertainty should be judged by the quality of the decision making, not by the quality of the consequences." (p. 111) "To make sense of uncertainty, you need to find a way to...
How to Avoid Stupidity
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course How to Avoid Stupidity You can be the smartest and most prepared person in the room, but certain predictable situations will reduce or eliminate this advantage. Why? Because certain situations overload our mental processing...
Preparation Over Prediction
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course Preparation Over Prediction The Automatic Behavior: Position for multiple possible futures. When I first started observing the masters of decision making, I thought they predicted the future. Now I know that’s not true. Most...
The Most Important Thing
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course The Most Important Thing The Automatic Behavior: Identify and communicate the most important thing. In this lesson, we’re going to teach you techniques for achieving perfect clarity on identifying what you want. This is so...
When to Decide
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course When to Decide? The Automatic Behavior: Decide as soon as possible or as late as possible but never in between. Bad decisions are the result of information we wish we knew at the time of the decision so it makes sense that...
Find the Root Problem
From Shane Parrish Decision Making Course. The Automatic Behavior: Never let anyone define the problem for you. one of the most common things I see distracting great decision makers from taking charge and moving intentionally towards their objectives: accepting the...
Find the Lead Domino
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course. Find the Lead Domino While a lot of people fear and avoid decisions, by embracing them instead, and intentionally learning how to master them- we step out of a passive role in our lives and into an active one...we step into...