"Superthinking" by Gabriel Weinberg "tragedy of the commons. However, unbeknownst to him, his hypothetical situation had really occurred in Boston Common two hundred years earlier (and many other times before and since). More affluent families did in fact keep buying...
Decision Making Articles
Being Wrong Less
"Superthinking," by Gabriel Weinberg Being Wrong Less "The concept of inverse thinking can help you with the challenge of making good decisions. The inverse of being right more is being wrong less." "Or consider healthy eating. A direct approach would be to try to...
Consequences Tables
From Raiffa's book "Smart Choices" Use a Consequence Table: “You’ve defined your problem, you’ve structured your objectives, and you’ve established the set of alternatives you have to choose from. Now, to make a smart choice, you need to compare the merits of the...
Characteristics of a Scout Mindset
From Julia Galef's "Scout Mindset" Characteristics of a Scout Mindset: Do you tell other people when you realize they were right? Technically, scout mindset only requires you to be able to acknowledge to yourself that you were wrong, not to other people. Still, a...
Favorite Quotes from Scout Mindset
From Julia Galef's "The Scout Mindset" "So I’ve given it one. I call it scout mindset: the motivation to see things as they are, not as you wish they were. Scout mindset is what allows you to recognize when you are wrong, to seek out your blind spots, to test your...
How do you deal with Uncertainty?
From Howard Raiffa "Smart Choices" How Do You Deal With Uncertainty? "Decisions under uncertainty should be judged by the quality of the decision making, not by the quality of the consequences." (p. 111) "To make sense of uncertainty, you need to find a way to...
Perpetually Improve as a Decision Maker
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course. Perpetually Improve as a Decision Maker. The world’s top athletes, surgeons, and speakers know that the fastest way to progress is to know where you’re starting from, record your performance, and review it constantly. ...
How to Avoid Stupidity
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course How to Avoid Stupidity You can be the smartest and most prepared person in the room, but certain predictable situations will reduce or eliminate this advantage. Why? Because certain situations overload our mental processing...
Preparation Over Prediction
From Shane Parrish's Decision Making Course Preparation Over Prediction The Automatic Behavior: Position for multiple possible futures. When I first started observing the masters of decision making, I thought they predicted the future. Now I know that’s not true. Most...
Establish Correct Automatic Behaviors
From Shane Parish's Decision Making Course Establish Correct Automatic Behaviors The Automatic Behavior: Determine the automatic behaviors in advance so you don’t have to decide in the moment. When a project is failing or an emergency hits, do you and your team...