WisdomFromExperts https://validator.w3.org/feed/docs/rss2.html The Scout Mindset by Julia Galef Wisdom From Experts To prepare for the future, time travel. If you want to see reality better, you must form a truthseeking group. Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke To make better decisions, make a bet or pretend you are making a bet. Key takeaways from “How to Decide” How to make decisions in a group setting The 6 Step Process for Better Decision Making. Atomic Habits by James Clear Reality test your assumptions. Real estate example. Enshrine your core priorities. Think Again by Adam Grant You should trust the outside view more than the inside view according the Chip Heath. Key takeaways from “Smart Choices” Favorite quotes from “No Rules Rules” Netflix “No Rules Rules” by Reed Hastings “All About Asset Allocation” by Rick Ferri Create a precommitment contract Decisive by Chip Heath Prepare to be wrong. Attain distance. Test ideas or “ooch” before leaping into them. Decision By Design by Shane Parrish Smart Choices by Howard Raiffa Consequences Tables Psychological Traps How to use decision trees according to Raiffa. When you are trying to get other people’s opinion, don’t tell them your opinion. How to Decide by Annie Duke Why pros and cons lists are dangerous. Why do you need to consult with other people to see things more objectively? Beware of the four defaults. Why is it important to use probabilities in decision making? When should you make decisions slowly and when should you make decisions quickly? The power of negative thinking. How do you estimate probabilities? (according to Annie Duke) General summary of “Decisive” Key takeaways from “Thinking in Bets” Why do you need to use the “outside view” or base rates to make decisions? We are really bad at changing our minds and updating our beliefs. How to invest according to Rick Ferri How to Invest by John Bogle How can you prevent outcome bias or resulting? How to Invest by Burton Malkiel You need to create fail-safes such as tripwires to overcome inertia and biases. Shoot Bullets before the Cannonball How can you learn from your decisions? Widen your options.